The Office for National Statistics (ONS) have reported that their measure for inflation (Consumer Prices Index) fell to 1.7% for September. This is an unexpected reduction and is the lowest inflation has been in more than three years.
Drops in airfares and petrol were the main reasons for the reduction. The Bank of England targets 2% inflation, so this reduction may allow them to cut interest rates further when they meet in November. There is also some expectation that there could now be a second rate cut in December.
The September inflation figure is an important one since it’s normally used to set how much many benefits increase next April. These include Universal Credit, disability benefits, and carer’s allowance. Lower inflation may lead to lower increases in these allowances.
The drop in inflation may be temporary though, as energy prices increased in October, which may swing the picture once again.
See: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/latest
UK businesses are facing a “cost of business crisis”, according to the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC). Its new cost-stack calculator shows government policy alone has pushed up an average firm's expenses by 70% over the past decade, adding roughly £827,000 a year in costs for a typical mid-sized business. About a quarter of the rise stems from the increase in employer National Insurance contributions, with the higher minimum wage and mandatory pension auto-enrolment also major contributors.
Under Making Tax Digital (MTD) for Income Tax, sole traders and landlords with income of more than £50,000 have been required to keep digital records and send quarterly updates to HMRC since 6 April 2026.